Timing of ctDNA Analysis Aimed at Guiding Adjuvant Treatment in Colorectal Cancer

Tenna V Henriksen, Christina Demuth, Amanda Frydendahl, Jesper Nors, Marijana Nesic, Mads H Rasmussen, Ole H Larsen, Claudia Jaensch, Uffe S Løve, Per V Andersen, Thomas Kolbro, Ole Thorlacius-Ussing, Alessio Monti, Jeppe Kildsig, Peter Bondeven, Nis H Schlesinger, Lene H Iversen, Kåre A Gotschalck, Claus L Andersen*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaperJournal articleResearchpeer-review

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Multiple clinical trials investigate circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) to guide adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) in colorectal cancer. Timely ACT initiation necessitates early ctDNA testing, but the impact of postoperative cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and ctDNA dynamics remains unclear, particularly with cost-reducing input caps employed in some assays. This study investigates ctDNA detection at day14 versus day30, comparing whole-sample analysis with capping the cfDNA input, and evaluates single and dual timepoint assessments for ACT allocation.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: In 2019-2023, 611 stage I-III colorectal cancer patients were enrolled. Blood was collected preoperatively, and postoperatively ~day14 and ~day30. The cfDNA levels were assessed using digital PCR, and ctDNA using tumor-informed digital PCR or targeted sequencing analyzing all cfDNA from 8mL of plasma.

RESULTS: Despite elevated cfDNA in 85% of day14 samples, performance was comparable between the two timepoints (sensitivity 31% vs 32%; specificity both 98%). A 50ng cfDNA input cap reduced ctDNA detection probability, impacting 78% of day14 samples and 65% of day30 samples. At both timepoints, ctDNA detection was prognostic of recurrence (day14: HR=9.0, 95%CI 5.5-14.8; day30: HR=12.5, 95%CI 7.6-20.4). In 74% of ctDNA-positive recurrence patients, both samples had ctDNA detected. An increase in ctDNA level from day14 to day30 was associated with shorter time to recurrence (Pearson R=-0.63, P=0.003). Combining the timepoints would increase sensitivity (36%) and allow earlier ACT start in 80% of patients.

CONCLUSION: Early ctDNA sampling is feasible and highly prognostic. Supplemental later testing may improve sensitivity while allowing early ACT initiation for most ctDNA positive patients.

Original languageEnglish
JournalClinical Cancer Research
Volume31
Issue9
Pages (from-to)1676-1685
Number of pages10
ISSN1078-0432
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2025

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