The Aid Effectiveness Literature: The Sad Result of 40 Years of Research

Hristos Doucouliagos, Martin Paldam

    Research output: Working paper/Preprint Working paperResearch

    Abstract

    The AEL consists of empirical macro studies of the effects of development aid. At the end of 2004 it had reached 97 studies of three families, which we have summarized in one study each using meta-analysis. Studies of the effect on investments show that they rise by 1/3 of the aid – the rest is crowded out by a fall in savings. Studies of the effect on growth show an insignificant positive effect. Studies of the effect on growth, conditional on something else, have till now shown weak results. The Dutch Disease effect of aid has been ignored. The best aggregate estimate is that since its start in the early 1960s aid has increased the standard of living in the poor countries by 20%.
    Original languageEnglish
    Place of publicationAarhus
    PublisherInstitut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet
    Number of pages26
    Publication statusPublished - 2005

    Keywords

    • Aid effectiveness, meta study, accumulation, growth

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