Species-specific responses of Late Quaternary megafauna to climate and humans

Eline D Lorenzen; David Nogués-Bravo; Ludovic Orlando; Jaco Weinstock; Jonas Binladen; Katharine A Marske; Andrew Ugan; Michael Krabbe Borregaard; M Thomas P Gilbert; Rasmus Nielsen; Simon Y W Ho; Ted Goebel; Kelly E Graf; David Byers; Jesper Stenderup; Morten Rasmussen; Paula Campos; Jennifer A Leonard; Klaus-Peter Koepfli; Duane Froese; Grant Zazula; Thomas W Stafford; Kim Aaris-Sørensen; Persaram Batra; Alan M Haywood; Joy S Singarayer; Paul J Valdes; Gennady Boeskorov; James A Burns; Sergey P Davydov; James Haile; Dennis L Jenkins; Pavel Kosintsev; Tatyana Kuznetsova; Xulong Lai; Larry D Martin; H Gregory McDonald; Dick Mol; Morten Meldgaard; Kasper Munch; Elisabeth Stephan; Mikhail Sablin; Robert S Sommer; Taras Sipko; Eric Scott; Marc A Suchard; Alexei Tikhonov; Rane Willerslev; Robert K Wayne; Alan Cooper; Michael Hofreiter; Andrei Sher; Beth Shapiro; Carsten Rahbek; Eske Willerslev

doi:10.1038/nature10574

Species-specific responses of Late Quaternary megafauna to climate and humans

Eline D Lorenzen, David Nogués-Bravo, Ludovic Orlando, Jaco Weinstock, Jonas Binladen, Katharine A Marske, Andrew Ugan, Michael Krabbe Borregaard, M Thomas P Gilbert, Rasmus Nielsen, Simon Y W Ho, Ted Goebel, Kelly E Graf, David Byers, Jesper Stenderup, Morten Rasmussen, Paula Campos, Jennifer A Leonard, Klaus-Peter Koepfli, Duane FroeseGrant Zazula, Thomas W Stafford, Kim Aaris-Sørensen, Persaram Batra, Alan M Haywood, Joy S Singarayer, Paul J Valdes, Gennady Boeskorov, James A Burns, Sergey P Davydov, James Haile, Dennis L Jenkins, Pavel Kosintsev, Tatyana Kuznetsova, Xulong Lai, Larry D Martin, H Gregory McDonald, Dick Mol, Morten Meldgaard, Kasper Munch, Elisabeth Stephan, Mikhail Sablin, Robert S Sommer, Taras Sipko, Eric Scott, Marc A Suchard, Alexei Tikhonov, Rane Willerslev, Robert K Wayne, Alan Cooper, Michael Hofreiter, Andrei Sher, Beth Shapiro, Carsten Rahbek, Eske Willerslev

Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaper › Journal article › Research › peer-review

Abstract

Despite decades of research, the roles of climate and humans in driving the dramatic extinctions of large-bodied mammals during the Late Quaternary period remain contentious. Here we use ancient DNA, species distribution models and the human fossil record to elucidate how climate and humans shaped the demographic history of woolly rhinoceros, woolly mammoth, wild horse, reindeer, bison and musk ox. We show that climate has been a major driver of population change over the past 50,000 years. However, each species responds differently to the effects of climatic shifts, habitat redistribution and human encroachment. Although climate change alone can explain the extinction of some species, such as Eurasian musk ox and woolly rhinoceros, a combination of climatic and anthropogenic effects appears to be responsible for the extinction of others, including Eurasian steppe bison and wild horse. We find no genetic signature or any distinctive range dynamics distinguishing extinct from surviving species, emphasizing the challenges associated with predicting future responses of extant mammals to climate and human-mediated habitat change.

Original language	English
Journal	Nature
Volume	479
Issue	7373
Pages (from-to)	359-64
Number of pages	6
ISSN	0028-0836
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/nature10574
Publication status	Published - 2011

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Lorenzen, E. D., Nogués-Bravo, D., Orlando, L., Weinstock, J., Binladen, J., Marske, K. A., Ugan, A., Borregaard, M. K., Gilbert, M. T. P., Nielsen, R., Ho, S. Y. W., Goebel, T., Graf, K. E., Byers, D., Stenderup, J., Rasmussen, M., Campos, P., Leonard, J. A., Koepfli, K.-P., ... Willerslev, E. (2011). Species-specific responses of Late Quaternary megafauna to climate and humans. Nature, 479(7373), 359-64. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature10574

@article{67ec56b15164414aad4b0d0b02da7d56,

title = "Species-specific responses of Late Quaternary megafauna to climate and humans",

abstract = "Despite decades of research, the roles of climate and humans in driving the dramatic extinctions of large-bodied mammals during the Late Quaternary period remain contentious. Here we use ancient DNA, species distribution models and the human fossil record to elucidate how climate and humans shaped the demographic history of woolly rhinoceros, woolly mammoth, wild horse, reindeer, bison and musk ox. We show that climate has been a major driver of population change over the past 50,000 years. However, each species responds differently to the effects of climatic shifts, habitat redistribution and human encroachment. Although climate change alone can explain the extinction of some species, such as Eurasian musk ox and woolly rhinoceros, a combination of climatic and anthropogenic effects appears to be responsible for the extinction of others, including Eurasian steppe bison and wild horse. We find no genetic signature or any distinctive range dynamics distinguishing extinct from surviving species, emphasizing the challenges associated with predicting future responses of extant mammals to climate and human-mediated habitat change.",

author = "Lorenzen, {Eline D} and David Nogu{\'e}s-Bravo and Ludovic Orlando and Jaco Weinstock and Jonas Binladen and Marske, {Katharine A} and Andrew Ugan and Borregaard, {Michael Krabbe} and Gilbert, {M Thomas P} and Rasmus Nielsen and Ho, {Simon Y W} and Ted Goebel and Graf, {Kelly E} and David Byers and Jesper Stenderup and Morten Rasmussen and Paula Campos and Leonard, {Jennifer A} and Klaus-Peter Koepfli and Duane Froese and Grant Zazula and Stafford, {Thomas W} and Kim Aaris-S{\o}rensen and Persaram Batra and Haywood, {Alan M} and Singarayer, {Joy S} and Valdes, {Paul J} and Gennady Boeskorov and Burns, {James A} and Davydov, {Sergey P} and James Haile and Jenkins, {Dennis L} and Pavel Kosintsev and Tatyana Kuznetsova and Xulong Lai and Martin, {Larry D} and McDonald, {H Gregory} and Dick Mol and Morten Meldgaard and Kasper Munch and Elisabeth Stephan and Mikhail Sablin and Sommer, {Robert S} and Taras Sipko and Eric Scott and Suchard, {Marc A} and Alexei Tikhonov and Rane Willerslev and Wayne, {Robert K} and Alan Cooper and Michael Hofreiter and Andrei Sher and Beth Shapiro and Carsten Rahbek and Eske Willerslev",

year = "2011",

doi = "10.1038/nature10574",

language = "English",

volume = "479",

pages = "359--64",

journal = "Nature",

issn = "0028-0836",

publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",

number = "7373",

}

Lorenzen, ED, Nogués-Bravo, D, Orlando, L, Weinstock, J, Binladen, J, Marske, KA, Ugan, A, Borregaard, MK, Gilbert, MTP, Nielsen, R, Ho, SYW, Goebel, T, Graf, KE, Byers, D, Stenderup, J, Rasmussen, M, Campos, P, Leonard, JA, Koepfli, K-P, Froese, D, Zazula, G, Stafford, TW, Aaris-Sørensen, K, Batra, P, Haywood, AM, Singarayer, JS, Valdes, PJ, Boeskorov, G, Burns, JA, Davydov, SP, Haile, J, Jenkins, DL, Kosintsev, P, Kuznetsova, T, Lai, X, Martin, LD, McDonald, HG, Mol, D, Meldgaard, M, Munch, K, Stephan, E, Sablin, M, Sommer, RS, Sipko, T, Scott, E, Suchard, MA, Tikhonov, A, Willerslev, R, Wayne, RK, Cooper, A, Hofreiter, M, Sher, A, Shapiro, B, Rahbek, C & Willerslev, E 2011, 'Species-specific responses of Late Quaternary megafauna to climate and humans', Nature, vol. 479, no. 7373, pp. 359-64. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature10574

TY - JOUR

T1 - Species-specific responses of Late Quaternary megafauna to climate and humans

AU - Lorenzen, Eline D

AU - Nogués-Bravo, David

AU - Orlando, Ludovic

AU - Weinstock, Jaco

AU - Binladen, Jonas

AU - Marske, Katharine A

AU - Ugan, Andrew

AU - Borregaard, Michael Krabbe

AU - Gilbert, M Thomas P

AU - Nielsen, Rasmus

AU - Ho, Simon Y W

AU - Goebel, Ted

AU - Graf, Kelly E

AU - Byers, David

AU - Stenderup, Jesper

AU - Rasmussen, Morten

AU - Campos, Paula

AU - Leonard, Jennifer A

AU - Koepfli, Klaus-Peter

AU - Froese, Duane

AU - Zazula, Grant

AU - Stafford, Thomas W

AU - Aaris-Sørensen, Kim

AU - Batra, Persaram

AU - Haywood, Alan M

AU - Singarayer, Joy S

AU - Valdes, Paul J

AU - Boeskorov, Gennady

AU - Burns, James A

AU - Davydov, Sergey P

AU - Haile, James

AU - Jenkins, Dennis L

AU - Kosintsev, Pavel

AU - Kuznetsova, Tatyana

AU - Lai, Xulong

AU - Martin, Larry D

AU - McDonald, H Gregory

AU - Mol, Dick

AU - Meldgaard, Morten

AU - Munch, Kasper

AU - Stephan, Elisabeth

AU - Sablin, Mikhail

AU - Sommer, Robert S

AU - Sipko, Taras

AU - Scott, Eric

AU - Suchard, Marc A

AU - Tikhonov, Alexei

AU - Willerslev, Rane

AU - Wayne, Robert K

AU - Cooper, Alan

AU - Hofreiter, Michael

AU - Sher, Andrei

AU - Shapiro, Beth

AU - Rahbek, Carsten

AU - Willerslev, Eske

PY - 2011

Y1 - 2011

N2 - Despite decades of research, the roles of climate and humans in driving the dramatic extinctions of large-bodied mammals during the Late Quaternary period remain contentious. Here we use ancient DNA, species distribution models and the human fossil record to elucidate how climate and humans shaped the demographic history of woolly rhinoceros, woolly mammoth, wild horse, reindeer, bison and musk ox. We show that climate has been a major driver of population change over the past 50,000 years. However, each species responds differently to the effects of climatic shifts, habitat redistribution and human encroachment. Although climate change alone can explain the extinction of some species, such as Eurasian musk ox and woolly rhinoceros, a combination of climatic and anthropogenic effects appears to be responsible for the extinction of others, including Eurasian steppe bison and wild horse. We find no genetic signature or any distinctive range dynamics distinguishing extinct from surviving species, emphasizing the challenges associated with predicting future responses of extant mammals to climate and human-mediated habitat change.

AB - Despite decades of research, the roles of climate and humans in driving the dramatic extinctions of large-bodied mammals during the Late Quaternary period remain contentious. Here we use ancient DNA, species distribution models and the human fossil record to elucidate how climate and humans shaped the demographic history of woolly rhinoceros, woolly mammoth, wild horse, reindeer, bison and musk ox. We show that climate has been a major driver of population change over the past 50,000 years. However, each species responds differently to the effects of climatic shifts, habitat redistribution and human encroachment. Although climate change alone can explain the extinction of some species, such as Eurasian musk ox and woolly rhinoceros, a combination of climatic and anthropogenic effects appears to be responsible for the extinction of others, including Eurasian steppe bison and wild horse. We find no genetic signature or any distinctive range dynamics distinguishing extinct from surviving species, emphasizing the challenges associated with predicting future responses of extant mammals to climate and human-mediated habitat change.

U2 - 10.1038/nature10574

DO - 10.1038/nature10574

M3 - Journal article

C2 - 22048313

SN - 0028-0836

VL - 479

SP - 359

EP - 364

JO - Nature

JF - Nature

IS - 7373

ER -

Species-specific responses of Late Quaternary megafauna to climate and humans

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