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Semiparametric estimation and inference on the fractal index of Gaussian and conditionally Gaussian time series data. / Bennedsen, Mikkel.
In: Econometric Reviews, Vol. 39, No. 9, 10.2020, p. 875-903.Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaper › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Semiparametric estimation and inference on the fractal index of Gaussian and conditionally Gaussian time series data
AU - Bennedsen, Mikkel
PY - 2020/10
Y1 - 2020/10
N2 - This paper studies the properties of a particular estimator of the fractal index of a time series with a view to applications in financial econometrics and mathematical finance. We show how measurement noise (e.g., microstructure noise) in the observations will bias the estimator, potentially resulting in the econometrician erroneously finding evidence of fractal characteristics in a time series. We propose a new estimator which is robust to such noise and construct a formal hypothesis test for the presence of noise in the observations. A number of simulation exercises are carried out, providing guidance for implementation of the theory. Finally, the methods are illustrated on two empirical data sets; one of turbulent velocity flows and one of financial prices.
AB - This paper studies the properties of a particular estimator of the fractal index of a time series with a view to applications in financial econometrics and mathematical finance. We show how measurement noise (e.g., microstructure noise) in the observations will bias the estimator, potentially resulting in the econometrician erroneously finding evidence of fractal characteristics in a time series. We propose a new estimator which is robust to such noise and construct a formal hypothesis test for the presence of noise in the observations. A number of simulation exercises are carried out, providing guidance for implementation of the theory. Finally, the methods are illustrated on two empirical data sets; one of turbulent velocity flows and one of financial prices.
KW - 60G10
KW - 60G15
KW - 60G17
KW - 60G22
KW - 62M07
KW - 62M09
KW - 65C05
KW - Estimation
KW - fractal index
KW - fractional Brownian motion
KW - inference
KW - roughness
KW - stochastic volatility
KW - BROWNIAN SEMISTATIONARY PROCESSES
KW - ROUGHNESS
KW - DIMENSION
KW - LONG-MEMORY
KW - VARIANCE
KW - VOLATILITY
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85079407990&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/07474938.2020.1721832
DO - 10.1080/07474938.2020.1721832
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:85079407990
VL - 39
SP - 875
EP - 903
JO - Econometric Reviews
JF - Econometric Reviews
SN - 0747-4938
IS - 9
ER -