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On the link between volatility and growth. / Posch, Olaf; Wälde, K.
In: Journal of Economic Growth, Vol. 16, No. 4, 2011, p. 285-308.Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaper › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - On the link between volatility and growth
AU - Posch, Olaf
AU - Wälde, K.
N1 - Copyright 2011 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2011
Y1 - 2011
N2 - A model of growth with endogenous innovation and distortionary taxes is presented. Since innovation is the only source of volatility, any variable that influences innovation directly affects volatility and growth. This joint endogeneity is illustrated by working out the effects through which economies with different tax levels differ in their volatility and growth process. We obtain analytical measures of macro volatility based on cyclical output and on output growth rates for plausible parametric restrictions. This analysis implies that controls for taxes should be included in the standard growth-volatility regressions. Our estimates show that the conventional Ramey-Ramey coefficient is affected sizeably. In addition, tax levels do indeed appear to affect volatility in our empirical application.
AB - A model of growth with endogenous innovation and distortionary taxes is presented. Since innovation is the only source of volatility, any variable that influences innovation directly affects volatility and growth. This joint endogeneity is illustrated by working out the effects through which economies with different tax levels differ in their volatility and growth process. We obtain analytical measures of macro volatility based on cyclical output and on output growth rates for plausible parametric restrictions. This analysis implies that controls for taxes should be included in the standard growth-volatility regressions. Our estimates show that the conventional Ramey-Ramey coefficient is affected sizeably. In addition, tax levels do indeed appear to affect volatility in our empirical application.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=80855132783&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s10887-011-9069-y
DO - 10.1007/s10887-011-9069-y
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:80855132783
VL - 16
SP - 285
EP - 308
JO - Journal of Economic Growth
JF - Journal of Economic Growth
SN - 1381-4338
IS - 4
ER -