Nearly Efficient Likelihood Ratio Tests for Seasonal Unit Roots

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    Abstract

    In an important generalization of zero frequency autore-
    gressive unit root tests, Hylleberg, Engle, Granger, and Yoo (1990) developed
    regression-based tests for unit roots at the seasonal frequencies in quarterly time
    series. We develop likelihood ratio tests for seasonal unit roots and show that
    these tests are "nearly efficient" in the sense of Elliott, Rothenberg, and Stock
    (1996), i.e. that their local asymptotic power functions are indistinguishable
    from the Gaussian power envelope. Currently available nearly efficient testing
    procedures for seasonal unit roots are regression-based and require the choice
    of a GLS detrending parameter, which our likelihood ratio tests do not.
    Original languageEnglish
    Place of publicationAarhus
    PublisherInstitut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet
    Number of pages17
    Publication statusPublished - 2009

    Keywords

    • Likelihood Ratio Test, Seasonal Unit Root Hypothesis

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