Methods matter: exploring the ‘too much, too soon’ theory, part 1: causal questions in sports injury research

Rasmus Oestergaard Nielsen*, Michael Lejbach Bertelsen, Merete Møller, Adam Hulme, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Marti Casals, Erik Thorlund Parner

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaperReviewResearchpeer-review


Background It is widely accepted that athletes sustain sports injury if they train ï €ï too much, too soon'. However, not all athletes are built the same; some can tolerate more training than others. It is for this reason that prescribing the same training programme to all athletes to reduce injury risk is not optimal from a coaching perspective. Rather, athletes require individualised training plans. In acknowledgement of athlete diversity, it is therefore essential to ask the right causal research question in studies examining sports injury aetiology. Purpose In this first part of a British Journal of Sports Medicine educational series, we present four different causal research questions related to the ï €ï too much, too soon' theory and critically discuss their relevance to sports injury prevention. Content If it is true that there is no ï €ï one size ï ts all' training programme, then we need to consider by how much training can vary depending on individual athlete characteristics. To provide an evidence-base for subgroup-specific recommendations, a stronger emphasis on the following questions is needed: (1) How much training is ï €ï too much' before athletes with different characteristics sustain sports-related injury? and (2) Does the risk of sports injury differ among athletes with a certain characteristic (eg, high experience) compared with athletes with other characteristics (eg, low experience) depending on how much training they perform? Conclusion We recommend that sports injury researchers aiming to examine the ï €ï too much, too soon' theory should carefully consider how they, assisted by coaches, athletes and clinicians, pose their causal research question. In the light of the limitations of population-based prevention that intends to provide all athletes with the same advice, we argue that a stronger emphasis on research questions targeting subgroups of athletes is needed. In doing so, researchers may assist athletes, clinicians and coaches to understand what training advice/programme works best, for whom and under what circumstances.

Original languageEnglish
JournalBritish Journal of Sports Medicine
Pages (from-to)1119-1122
Number of pages4
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2020


  • methodology
  • sport
  • statistics


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