Low risk and high return - Affective attitudes and stock market expectations

Alexander Kempf, Christoph Merkle, Alexandra Niessen-Ruenzi*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaperJournal articleResearchpeer-review

32 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This experimental study investigates the impact of affective attitudes on risk and return estimates of stocks. Participants rate well-known blue-chip firms on an affective scale and forecast risk and return of the firms' stock. We find that positive affective attitudes lead to a prediction of high return and low risk, while negative attitudes lead to a prediction of low return and high risk. This bias increases with participants' confidence in their ratings and decreases with financial literacy. Firm characteristics such as a firm's marketing expenditures and the strength of its brand have a positive impact on its affective rating.

Original languageEnglish
JournalEuropean Financial Management
Volume20
Issue5
Pages (from-to)995-1030
Number of pages36
ISSN1354-7798
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Nov 2014
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • affect heuristic
  • affective attitudes
  • behavioural finance
  • risk and return expectations

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