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This paper examines local changes in annual temperature data for the northern and southern hemispheres (1850–2017) by using a multivariate generalization of the shifting-meanautoregressive model of González and Teräsvirta (2008). Univariate models are first fitted to each series by using the QuickShift methodology. Full information maximum likelihood estimates of a bivariate system of temperature equations are then obtained and asymptotic properties of the corresponding estimators considered. The system is then used to perform formal tests of co-movements, called co-shifting, in the series. The results show evidence of co-shifting in the two series.
Original language | English |
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Journal | Journal of Econometrics |
Volume | 214 |
Issue | 1 |
Pages (from-to) | 198-215 |
Number of pages | 18 |
ISSN | 0304-4076 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Jan 2020 |
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ID: 142691794