Flexible model-based non-negative matrix factorization with application to mutational signatures

Ragnhild Laursen, Lasse Maretty, Asger Hobolth*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaperJournal articleResearchpeer-review

Abstract

Somatic mutations in cancer can be viewed as a mixture distribution of several mutational signatures, which can be inferred using non-negative matrix factorization (NMF). Mutational signatures have previously been parametrized using either simple mono-nucleotide interaction models or general tri-nucleotide interaction models. We describe a flexible and novel framework for identifying biologically plausible parametrizations of mutational signatures, and in particular for estimating di-nucleotide interaction models. Our novel estimation procedure is based on the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm and regression in the log-linear quasi-Poisson model. We show that di-nucleotide interaction signatures are statistically stable and sufficiently complex to fit the mutational patterns. Di-nucleotide interaction signatures often strike the right balance between appropriately fitting the data and avoiding over-fitting. They provide a better fit to data and are biologically more plausible than mono-nucleotide interaction signatures, and the parametrization is more stable than the parameter-rich tri-nucleotide interaction signatures. We illustrate our framework in a large simulation study where we compare to state of the art methods, and show results for three data sets of somatic mutation counts from patients with cancer in the breast, Liver and urinary tract.

Original languageEnglish
Article number20230034
JournalStatistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology
Volume23
Issue1
ISSN1544-6115
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2024

Keywords

  • cancer genomics
  • expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm
  • interaction terms
  • mutational signatures
  • non-negative matrix factorization (NMF)
  • Poisson regression

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