Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaper › Journal article › Research › peer-review
Explaining output volatility : The case of taxation. / Posch, Olaf.
In: Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 95, No. 11-12, 2011, p. 1589-1606.Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaper › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Explaining output volatility
T2 - The case of taxation
AU - Posch, Olaf
N1 - Copyright 2011 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2011
Y1 - 2011
N2 - This paper presents strong empirical evidence that the observed heterogeneity of output volatility across countries and over time is partly endogenous. In particular, based on a closed-form solution we obtain a (long-run) equilibrium relationship between taxes and output volatility in the stochastic neoclassical growth model by showing that asymptotically the variance of output growth rates is affected by the level of taxes, without affecting the mean. We estimate the tax semi-elasticities on output volatility and provide convincing empirical evidence that taxes are important to understand differences in output volatility among OECD countries.
AB - This paper presents strong empirical evidence that the observed heterogeneity of output volatility across countries and over time is partly endogenous. In particular, based on a closed-form solution we obtain a (long-run) equilibrium relationship between taxes and output volatility in the stochastic neoclassical growth model by showing that asymptotically the variance of output growth rates is affected by the level of taxes, without affecting the mean. We estimate the tax semi-elasticities on output volatility and provide convincing empirical evidence that taxes are important to understand differences in output volatility among OECD countries.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=80855160229&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2011.05.009
DO - 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2011.05.009
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:80855160229
VL - 95
SP - 1589
EP - 1606
JO - Journal of Public Economics
JF - Journal of Public Economics
SN - 0047-2727
IS - 11-12
ER -