Corporate risk: CEO overconfidence and incentive compensation

Tom Aabo*, Nicholai Theodor Hvistendahl, Jacob Kring

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaperJournal articleResearchpeer-review

16 Citations (Scopus)
429 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to investigate the association between corporate risk and the interaction between CEO incentive compensation and CEO overconfidence. Design/methodology/approach: This empirical study performs random and fixed effect (FE) regression analysis. It uses option-implied measures of CEO overconfidence. Findings: The authors contribute to the existing literature by showing (1) that the positive association between high CEO incentive compensation and corporate risk only exists in the sphere of overconfident CEOs and (2) that the positive association between overconfident CEOs and corporate risk only exists in the sphere of high CEO incentive compensation. The authors show that the combination of high CEO incentive compensation and CEO overconfidence is associated with an increase in corporate risk of approximately 6% while the individual effects are for all practical reasons negligible. The results imply that only the combination of high CEO incentive compensation and CEO overconfidence is associated with a significantly elevated level of corporate risk. Research limitations/implications: The findings are based on S&P 1500 non-financial firms in the period 2007–2016. Practical implications: The findings have important implications in terms of CEO selection and compensation. Originality/value: This study provides empirical evidence on the importance of the dual presence of high CEO incentive compensation and CEO overconfidence for corporate risk. The previous literature has primarily investigated these phenomena in isolation.

Original languageEnglish
JournalManagerial Finance
Volume47
Issue2
Pages (from-to)244-265
Number of pages22
ISSN0307-4358
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 28 Jan 2021

Keywords

  • Behavioral corporate finance
  • CEO incentive compensation
  • CEO overconfidence
  • Corporate risk

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