A heat-measurement-free strategy for Economic Model Predictive Control of hydronic radiators

Michael Dahl Knudsen*, Massimo Fiorentini, Steffen Petersen

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaperJournal articleResearchpeer-review

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Abstract

Cost-efficient measurement of room-level heat output from hydronic radiators is a major barrier to large-scale implementation of Economic Model Predictive Control (EMPC) in residential space heating for demand-side management. This paper therefore presents a novel EMPC strategy for hydronic radiators that relies on measurements of radiator pipe temperatures as a proxy for the radiator heat output, thus eliminating the need for costly flow-based meters at each radiator in a building. Simulation-based experiments indicate that the proposed proxy-based EMPC matches the performance of its heat-based counterpart. The proxy-based EMPC achieved a 16.6 % cost reduction compared to the heat-based EMPC's 16.8 %, with no comfort violations in both cases. Furthermore, the strategy shows resilience towards uncertainties in the user-estimated radiator exponent and maximum heating capacity. The proposed EMPC scheme also allows system operators to fine-tune the balance between cost savings and return temperatures using the proxy's upper limit. The findings presented in this paper suggest that the proposed proxy-based EMPC scheme provides a practical pathway for broader applications of EMPC in hydronic-based space heating with the prospect of unlocking significant load shifting potential, cost savings for end-users, and enhanced efficiency in individual and collective energy systems.

Original languageEnglish
Article number110694
JournalJournal of Building Engineering
Volume97
ISSN2352-7102
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 15 Nov 2024

Keywords

  • Co-simulations
  • Economic model predictive control
  • Hydronic radiators
  • Load-shifting
  • Room-level heating

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