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Søren Serritzlew

Which Party Gets the Mayoralty? A Multivariate Statistical Investigation of Danish Local Government Formation

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  • Department of Political Science

In non-presidential multiparty systems, it is not only the voters but also coalition formation

after the election that decides the government of the community. Some national-level studies

investigate which parties are most likely to win the Prime Minister's office. The aim of this

article is to investigate the same question at the local level:What makes a party more likely to

win the post of mayor? The article finds that party size and change in size are important along

with experience and ideological centrality. The results are similar to those obtained at the

national level, and this study thus expands the scope of these explanatory variables. However,

the study also shows that being a large party is not sufficient for a party to have a good chance

of winning the mayoralty. Furthermore, norms guiding appropriate behaviour seem important

in addition to instrumental behaviour. It appears that parties that are popular in the electorate

benefit from being perceived as more deserving of the mayoralty than others.

Original languageEnglish
JournalScandinavian Political Studies
Pages (from-to)189-206
Number of pages18
Publication statusPublished - 2010

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