Department of Economics and Business Economics

Mikko Pakkanen

An approximative method of simulating a duel

Research output: Contribution to book/anthology/report/proceedingArticle in proceedingsResearchpeer-review

We develop a dynamic Markovian method of simulating a battle between two infantry units. Its key feature is that the probabilities of the outcomes of the battle can be computed efficiently, without the joint distribution of the strengths of the units or their transition matrix, making the method feasible even with larger unit strengths. We find the probabilities of the outcomes to be close to the ones obtained from a more elaborate, but computationally more costly, joint Markov-chain model of strengths. Additionally, using our method we are able to compute the conditional distributions of the strength of a unit, given that it has, respectively, won the battle or been defeated by the enemy.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2012 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)
Number of pages10
Publication year2012
Publication statusPublished - 2012
Externally publishedYes
EventThe 2012 Winter Simulation Conference - Berlin, Germany
Duration: 9 Dec 201212 Dec 2012


ConferenceThe 2012 Winter Simulation Conference

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