Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaper › Journal article › Research › peer-review
Survival and PSA-markers for mortality and metastasis in nonmetastatic prostate cancer treated with androgen deprivation therapy. / Nguyen-Nielsen, Mary; Liede, Alexander; Maegbaek, Merete Lund; Borre, Michael; Harving, Niels; Hernandez, Rohini Khorana; Toft Sørensen, Henrik; Ehrenstein, Vera.
In: Cancer epidemiology, Vol. 39, No. 4, 08.2015, p. 623-32.Research output: Contribution to journal/Conference contribution in journal/Contribution to newspaper › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Survival and PSA-markers for mortality and metastasis in nonmetastatic prostate cancer treated with androgen deprivation therapy
AU - Nguyen-Nielsen, Mary
AU - Liede, Alexander
AU - Maegbaek, Merete Lund
AU - Borre, Michael
AU - Harving, Niels
AU - Hernandez, Rohini Khorana
AU - Toft Sørensen, Henrik
AU - Ehrenstein, Vera
N1 - Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
PY - 2015/8
Y1 - 2015/8
N2 - BACKGROUND: Few studies have examined the risk of developing castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC), metastasis, and mortality among nonmetastatic prostate cancer (M0-PC) patients treated with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). We estimated the incidence of these outcomes among M0-PC patients on ADT and identified prostate-specific antigen (PSA) based biomarkers for mortality and metastasis.METHODS: This population-based cohort study included all nonmetastatic prostate cancer patients in Northern and Central Denmark Regions during 1997-2010, identified through registry data. Primary outcomes were metastasis, overall survival, and bone metastasis-free survival (BMFS). We estimated relative risks (RR) associated with PSA and PSA doubling-time (PSA-DT), measured as time-varying variables beginning at ADT treatment start.RESULTS: We included 2494 M0-PC patients treated with ADT, of whom 1617 (80%) developed CRPC during follow-up. One-fourth of the patients developed metastases within 5 years; bone metastases (BM) accounted for 81% of all metastases. Median survival time was 4.4 years. Compared with PSA <8 ng/mL, PSA ≥8 ng/mL was associated with an adjusted RR of 14.0 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.2, 19.0) for BM, 4.4 (CI: 3.9, 5.0) for all-cause mortality, and RR of 4.8 (CI: 4.3, 5.4) for the inverse of BMFS. PSA-DT ≤6 months was associated with an adjusted RR of 7.6 (95% CI: 6.1, 9.5) for BM, RR of 5.9 (CI: 5.2, 6.6) for all-cause mortality, and RR 6.6 (CI: 5.9, 7.4) for the inverse of BMFS.CONCLUSIONS: PSA ≥8 ng/mL and PSA-DT ≤6 months are strong predictors of mortality and bone metastasis. The poor prognosis observed in this study may reflect inclusion of patients with severe prostate cancer by requiring repeated PSA measurements.
AB - BACKGROUND: Few studies have examined the risk of developing castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC), metastasis, and mortality among nonmetastatic prostate cancer (M0-PC) patients treated with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). We estimated the incidence of these outcomes among M0-PC patients on ADT and identified prostate-specific antigen (PSA) based biomarkers for mortality and metastasis.METHODS: This population-based cohort study included all nonmetastatic prostate cancer patients in Northern and Central Denmark Regions during 1997-2010, identified through registry data. Primary outcomes were metastasis, overall survival, and bone metastasis-free survival (BMFS). We estimated relative risks (RR) associated with PSA and PSA doubling-time (PSA-DT), measured as time-varying variables beginning at ADT treatment start.RESULTS: We included 2494 M0-PC patients treated with ADT, of whom 1617 (80%) developed CRPC during follow-up. One-fourth of the patients developed metastases within 5 years; bone metastases (BM) accounted for 81% of all metastases. Median survival time was 4.4 years. Compared with PSA <8 ng/mL, PSA ≥8 ng/mL was associated with an adjusted RR of 14.0 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.2, 19.0) for BM, 4.4 (CI: 3.9, 5.0) for all-cause mortality, and RR of 4.8 (CI: 4.3, 5.4) for the inverse of BMFS. PSA-DT ≤6 months was associated with an adjusted RR of 7.6 (95% CI: 6.1, 9.5) for BM, RR of 5.9 (CI: 5.2, 6.6) for all-cause mortality, and RR 6.6 (CI: 5.9, 7.4) for the inverse of BMFS.CONCLUSIONS: PSA ≥8 ng/mL and PSA-DT ≤6 months are strong predictors of mortality and bone metastasis. The poor prognosis observed in this study may reflect inclusion of patients with severe prostate cancer by requiring repeated PSA measurements.
U2 - 10.1016/j.canep.2015.05.008
DO - 10.1016/j.canep.2015.05.008
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 26100365
VL - 39
SP - 623
EP - 632
JO - Cancer Epidemiology
JF - Cancer Epidemiology
SN - 1877-7821
IS - 4
ER -