Timescale classification in wind forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art

TY - JOUR

T1 - Timescale classification in wind forecasting

T2 - A review of the state-of-the-art

AU - Roungkvist, Jannik Schütz

AU - Enevoldsen, Peter

PY - 2020/8

Y1 - 2020/8

N2 - The intermittency of the wind has been reported to present significant challenges to power and grid systems, which intensifies with increasing penetration levels. Accurate wind forecasting can mitigate these challenges and help in integrating more wind power into the grid. A range of studies have presented algorithms to forecast the wind in terms of wind speeds and wind power generation across different timescales. However, the classification of timescales varies significantly across the different studies (2010–2014). The timescale is important in specifying which methodology to use when, as well in uniting future research, data requirements, etc. This study proposes a generic statement on how to classify the timescales, and further presents different applications of these forecasts across the entire wind power value chain.

AB - The intermittency of the wind has been reported to present significant challenges to power and grid systems, which intensifies with increasing penetration levels. Accurate wind forecasting can mitigate these challenges and help in integrating more wind power into the grid. A range of studies have presented algorithms to forecast the wind in terms of wind speeds and wind power generation across different timescales. However, the classification of timescales varies significantly across the different studies (2010–2014). The timescale is important in specifying which methodology to use when, as well in uniting future research, data requirements, etc. This study proposes a generic statement on how to classify the timescales, and further presents different applications of these forecasts across the entire wind power value chain.

KW - energy forecasting

KW - multiple-step-ahead forecasting

KW - renewable energy integration

KW - time series forecasting

KW - wind power forecasting

KW - wind speed forecasting

KW - ENSEMBLE

KW - TERM

KW - MODEL

KW - PERFORMANCE EVALUATION

KW - MULTISTEP

KW - SPEED PREDICTION

KW - OPERATION

KW - TIME-SERIES

KW - POWER-SYSTEMS

KW - OPTIMIZATION

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85078889124&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1002/for.2657

DO - 10.1002/for.2657

M3 - Review

AN - SCOPUS:85078889124

SN - 0277-6693

VL - 39

SP - 757

EP - 768

JO - Journal of Forecasting

JF - Journal of Forecasting

IS - 5

ER -