Institut for Forretningsudvikling og Teknologi

Institutionalized Technological Foresight: Methods, Impact and Role in policy making and business development.

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  • Handels- og IngeniørHøjskolen

Technology and knowledge monitoring is a continual challenge especially for small and medium size enterprises. Technological foresight seemingly offers important parts of this crucial monitoring. The SMEs rarely possess sufficient resources to do systematic foresights, or forecasts however, and they become dependent of national and other institutional foresights.

Since 2000 the Danish ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation has tendered nine technology foresights. These could be used by SMEs as supplementary to internal decision making. One also expects to see these foresights placed firmly in the national strategy of coordinating and strengthening policy on research, technology and innovation in one superministry.

The paper evaluates the methods, impact and role in policy making of these technological foresights. The particular role of institutionalized public foresight in relation to enterprise strategy is discussed, but remains a topic that asks for more research.

The foresights share a common focus on research and innovation for business development and high priority of issues relating to the respective sectors of enterprises. They turn out to exhibit quite differentiated methods and procedures, but all draw on expertpanels, the foresighters own analyses, and none on the Delphi method.

The impact and role in policy making is also rather differentiated from relatively marginal and with predominantly legitimizing purposes to direct ministerial initiatives of research project and innovation, and less direct aid to enterprises. Juxtaposed with the dominance of and needs of small businesses in Denmark this status is especially disappointing and future improvements are proposed.

TitelInstitutionalized Technological Foresight -Methods, Impact and Role in policy making and business development. In Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Management of Technology. IAMOT.
RedaktørerAbu B. Hijleh, M. Arif, T. Khalil, Y. Hosni
Antal sider15
StatusUdgivet - 2008
Begivenhed 17th International Conference on Management of Technology. IAMOT. - Dubai, United Arab Emirates
Varighed: 7 apr. 200810 apr. 2008
Konferencens nummer: 17


Konference 17th International Conference on Management of Technology. IAMOT.
LandUnited Arab Emirates

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