Evolutionary leadership theory and economic voting: Warmth and competence impressions mediate the effect of economic perceptions on vote

TY - JOUR

T1 - Evolutionary leadership theory and economic voting

T2 - Warmth and competence impressions mediate the effect of economic perceptions on vote

AU - Bor, Alexander

PY - 2020/4

Y1 - 2020/4

N2 - Leaders' persona and the state of the economy are among the two most salient topics during election campaigns. Existing scholarship treats these as two independent or even competing factors. Economic perceptions are overlooked as cues for leader evaluations, while leader evaluations rarely enter considerations of the economic vote. This article builds on evolutionary leadership theory to bridge these distant literatures. It proposes that evaluating leaders' performance based on the resources available to group members may have improved followers' fitness ancestrally. Accordingly, it predicts that the effect of economic perceptions on vote choice is mediated by leaders' warmth and competence impressions in modern democracies. To test these predictions, the article first analyzes representative survey data from seventeen elections in three countries (USA, Australia and Denmark). Second, it relies on two original, well-powered manipulation-of-process experiments to test the validity of the causal claims.

AB - Leaders' persona and the state of the economy are among the two most salient topics during election campaigns. Existing scholarship treats these as two independent or even competing factors. Economic perceptions are overlooked as cues for leader evaluations, while leader evaluations rarely enter considerations of the economic vote. This article builds on evolutionary leadership theory to bridge these distant literatures. It proposes that evaluating leaders' performance based on the resources available to group members may have improved followers' fitness ancestrally. Accordingly, it predicts that the effect of economic perceptions on vote choice is mediated by leaders' warmth and competence impressions in modern democracies. To test these predictions, the article first analyzes representative survey data from seventeen elections in three countries (USA, Australia and Denmark). Second, it relies on two original, well-powered manipulation-of-process experiments to test the validity of the causal claims.

KW - Competence

KW - Economic voting

KW - Evolutionary psychology

KW - Leader evaluation

KW - Warmth

KW - AUSTRALIA

KW - BEHAVIOR

KW - CANDIDATE

KW - HYPOTHESES

KW - FACES

KW - STRATEGIES

KW - DIMENSIONS

KW - SPONTANEOUS CATEGORIZATION

KW - INFERENCES

KW - US

U2 - 10.1016/j.leaqua.2019.05.002

DO - 10.1016/j.leaqua.2019.05.002

M3 - Journal article

SN - 1048-9843

VL - 31

JO - The Leadership Quarterly

JF - The Leadership Quarterly

IS - 2

M1 - 101295

ER -