Institut for Statskundskab

Do Strategic Foresight and Policy Making Go Hand in Hand? Security in the European Union

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift/Konferencebidrag i tidsskrift /Bidrag til avisTidsskriftartikelForskningpeer review

  • Jarka Chloupkova, Belgien
  • Gert Tinggaard Svendsen
  • Tomáš Zdechovský, Committee on Environment, Public Health and Consumer Protection of the European Parliament, Tjekkiet
Policy making is a complex issue, as numerous factors should be taken aboard before a political decision is made. To ensure a more holistic approach to policy making, the authors propose
to use the tool of foresight to capture the multitude of variables. Using the framework of rational choice theory on an empirical example of the serious security problems that unfolded in Europe in November 2015, the authors demonstrate how foresight, which draws on stakeholder knowledge and available information to connect the dots between fields and scattered information, would lead to more holistic and coordinated joint policy decisions. This would aid in establishing the optimal amount of public goods for which tax-payers’ money is to be invested. Currently, Europe stands at an important cross-road as to what its future will be. Some political decisions have been made, and some are still to be made. Not every European citizen is satisfied with all recent political choices, as reflected in the rise of Eurosceptic moods and extremist political parties. Yet, in a democratic society, European citizens, taxpayers and voters have the right to expect sound political decisions. To this end, the authors propose the use of the foresight tool. Such a vision for Europe could further improve future policy making to the benefit of all EU citizens. The success of foresight and stake- holders’ groups for making sound decisions where best to invest tax-payers’ money, was already piloted in European Commission’s Directorate General for Research and Innovation. This was achieved thanks to operating a high-level stakeholder group, the European Forum on Forward Looking Activities (EFFLA), which provided both vision and advice.
TidsskriftJournal of Contemporary Management
Sider (fra-til)33-41
Antal sider9
StatusUdgivet - 2016


  • Foresight, European Union, Policy Making, Public good provision, Free riding, Security, Migration

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