Assessing socially disruptive technological change

Henrik Carlsen; Karl Henrik Dreborg; Marion Godman; Sven Ove Hansson; Linda Johansson; Per Wikman-Svahn

doi:10.1016/j.techsoc.2010.07.002

Assessing socially disruptive technological change

Henrik Carlsen, Karl Henrik Dreborg, Marion Godman, Sven Ove Hansson, Linda Johansson, Per Wikman-Svahn

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift/Konferencebidrag i tidsskrift /Bidrag til avis › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › peer review

Abstract

The co-evolution of society and potentially disruptive technologies makes decision guidance on such technologies difficult. Four basic principles are proposed for such decision guidance. None of the currently available methods satisfies these principles, but some of them contain useful methodological elements that should be integrated in a more satisfactory methodology. The outlines of such a methodology, multiple expertise interaction, are proposed. It combines elements from several previous methodologies, including (1) interdisciplinary groups of experts that assess the potential internal development of a particular technology; (2) external scenarios describing how the surrounding world can develop in ways that are relevant for the technology in question; and (3) a participatory process of convergence seminars, which is tailored to ensure that several alternative future developments are taken seriously into account. In particular, we suggest further development of a bottom-up scenario methodology to capture the co-evolutionary character of socio-technical development paths.

Originalsprog	Engelsk
Tidsskrift	Technology in Society
Vol/bind	32
Nummer	3
Sider (fra-til)	209-218
Antal sider	10
ISSN	0160-791X
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2010.07.002
Status	Udgivet - 2010
Udgivet eksternt	Ja

Adgang til dokumentet

10.1016/j.techsoc.2010.07.002

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160791X10000503

Citationsformater

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abstract = "The co-evolution of society and potentially disruptive technologies makes decision guidance on such technologies difficult. Four basic principles are proposed for such decision guidance. None of the currently available methods satisfies these principles, but some of them contain useful methodological elements that should be integrated in a more satisfactory methodology. The outlines of such a methodology, multiple expertise interaction, are proposed. It combines elements from several previous methodologies, including (1) interdisciplinary groups of experts that assess the potential internal development of a particular technology; (2) external scenarios describing how the surrounding world can develop in ways that are relevant for the technology in question; and (3) a participatory process of convergence seminars, which is tailored to ensure that several alternative future developments are taken seriously into account. In particular, we suggest further development of a bottom-up scenario methodology to capture the co-evolutionary character of socio-technical development paths.",

author = "Henrik Carlsen and Dreborg, {Karl Henrik} and Marion Godman and Hansson, {Sven Ove} and Linda Johansson and Per Wikman-Svahn",

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AU - Johansson, Linda

AU - Wikman-Svahn, Per

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