Institut for Statskundskab

A Two-Stage Approach to Civil Conflict: Contested Incompatibilities and Armed Violence

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift/Konferencebidrag i tidsskrift /Bidrag til avisTidsskriftartikelForskningpeer review

Standard

A Two-Stage Approach to Civil Conflict: Contested Incompatibilities and Armed Violence. / Bartusevicius, Henrikas; Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede .

I: International Organization, Bind 73, Nr. 1, 2019, s. 225-248.

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift/Konferencebidrag i tidsskrift /Bidrag til avisTidsskriftartikelForskningpeer review

Harvard

Bartusevicius, H & Gleditsch, KS 2019, 'A Two-Stage Approach to Civil Conflict: Contested Incompatibilities and Armed Violence', International Organization, bind 73, nr. 1, s. 225-248. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818318000425

APA

Bartusevicius, H., & Gleditsch, K. S. (2019). A Two-Stage Approach to Civil Conflict: Contested Incompatibilities and Armed Violence. International Organization, 73(1), 225-248. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818318000425

CBE

MLA

Bartusevicius, Henrikas og Kristian Skrede Gleditsch. "A Two-Stage Approach to Civil Conflict: Contested Incompatibilities and Armed Violence". International Organization. 2019, 73(1). 225-248. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818318000425

Vancouver

Author

Bartusevicius, Henrikas ; Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede . / A Two-Stage Approach to Civil Conflict: Contested Incompatibilities and Armed Violence. I: International Organization. 2019 ; Bind 73, Nr. 1. s. 225-248.

Bibtex

@article{0501ac91463f48a8857027a6c4972555,
title = "A Two-Stage Approach to Civil Conflict: Contested Incompatibilities and Armed Violence",
abstract = "We present a two-stage approach to civil conflict analysis. Unlike conventional approaches that focus only on armed conflict and treat all other cases as “at peace,” we first distinguish cases with and without contested incompatibilities (Stage 1) and then whether or not contested incompatibilities escalate to armed conflict (Stage 2). This allows us to analyze factors that relate to conflict origination (onset of incompatibilities) and factors that predict conflict militarization (onset of armed violence). Using new data on incompatibilities and armed conflict, we replicate and extend three prior studies of violent civil conflict, reformulated as a two-stage process, considering different estimation procedures and potential selection problems. We find that the group-based horizontal political inequalities highlighted in research on violent civil conflict clearly relate to conflict origination but have no clear association with militarization, whereas other features emphasized as shaping the risk of civil war, such as refugee flows and soft state power, predict militarization but not incompatibilities. A two-stage approach to conflict analysis can help advance theories of civil conflict, assess alternative mechanisms through which explanatory variables are thought to influence conflict, and guide new data-collection efforts.",
keywords = "MODELS, PEACE, SAMPLE SELECTION, SIZE, WAR",
author = "Henrikas Bartusevicius and Gleditsch, {Kristian Skrede}",
year = "2019",
doi = "10.1017/S0020818318000425",
language = "English",
volume = "73",
pages = "225--248",
journal = "International Organization",
issn = "0020-8183",
publisher = "Cambridge University Press",
number = "1",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - A Two-Stage Approach to Civil Conflict: Contested Incompatibilities and Armed Violence

AU - Bartusevicius, Henrikas

AU - Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede

PY - 2019

Y1 - 2019

N2 - We present a two-stage approach to civil conflict analysis. Unlike conventional approaches that focus only on armed conflict and treat all other cases as “at peace,” we first distinguish cases with and without contested incompatibilities (Stage 1) and then whether or not contested incompatibilities escalate to armed conflict (Stage 2). This allows us to analyze factors that relate to conflict origination (onset of incompatibilities) and factors that predict conflict militarization (onset of armed violence). Using new data on incompatibilities and armed conflict, we replicate and extend three prior studies of violent civil conflict, reformulated as a two-stage process, considering different estimation procedures and potential selection problems. We find that the group-based horizontal political inequalities highlighted in research on violent civil conflict clearly relate to conflict origination but have no clear association with militarization, whereas other features emphasized as shaping the risk of civil war, such as refugee flows and soft state power, predict militarization but not incompatibilities. A two-stage approach to conflict analysis can help advance theories of civil conflict, assess alternative mechanisms through which explanatory variables are thought to influence conflict, and guide new data-collection efforts.

AB - We present a two-stage approach to civil conflict analysis. Unlike conventional approaches that focus only on armed conflict and treat all other cases as “at peace,” we first distinguish cases with and without contested incompatibilities (Stage 1) and then whether or not contested incompatibilities escalate to armed conflict (Stage 2). This allows us to analyze factors that relate to conflict origination (onset of incompatibilities) and factors that predict conflict militarization (onset of armed violence). Using new data on incompatibilities and armed conflict, we replicate and extend three prior studies of violent civil conflict, reformulated as a two-stage process, considering different estimation procedures and potential selection problems. We find that the group-based horizontal political inequalities highlighted in research on violent civil conflict clearly relate to conflict origination but have no clear association with militarization, whereas other features emphasized as shaping the risk of civil war, such as refugee flows and soft state power, predict militarization but not incompatibilities. A two-stage approach to conflict analysis can help advance theories of civil conflict, assess alternative mechanisms through which explanatory variables are thought to influence conflict, and guide new data-collection efforts.

KW - MODELS

KW - PEACE

KW - SAMPLE SELECTION

KW - SIZE

KW - WAR

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85053191234&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1017/S0020818318000425

DO - 10.1017/S0020818318000425

M3 - Journal article

VL - 73

SP - 225

EP - 248

JO - International Organization

JF - International Organization

SN - 0020-8183

IS - 1

ER -