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Brody Steven Sandel

Predictability in community dynamics

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift/Konferencebidrag i tidsskrift /Bidrag til avisTidsskriftartikelForskningpeer review

Standard

Predictability in community dynamics. / Blonder, Benjamin; Moulton, Derek E.; Blois, Jessica; Enquist, Brian J.; Graae, Bente J.; Macias-Fauria, Marc; McGill, Brian; Nogue, Sandra; Ordonez, Alejandro; Sandel, Brody; Svenning, Jens-Christian.

I: Ecology Letters, Bind 20, Nr. 3, 03.2017, s. 293-306.

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift/Konferencebidrag i tidsskrift /Bidrag til avisTidsskriftartikelForskningpeer review

Harvard

Blonder, B, Moulton, DE, Blois, J, Enquist, BJ, Graae, BJ, Macias-Fauria, M, McGill, B, Nogue, S, Ordonez, A, Sandel, B & Svenning, J-C 2017, 'Predictability in community dynamics', Ecology Letters, bind 20, nr. 3, s. 293-306. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12736

APA

Blonder, B., Moulton, D. E., Blois, J., Enquist, B. J., Graae, B. J., Macias-Fauria, M., ... Svenning, J-C. (2017). Predictability in community dynamics. Ecology Letters, 20(3), 293-306. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12736

CBE

Blonder B, Moulton DE, Blois J, Enquist BJ, Graae BJ, Macias-Fauria M, McGill B, Nogue S, Ordonez A, Sandel B, Svenning J-C. 2017. Predictability in community dynamics. Ecology Letters. 20(3):293-306. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12736

MLA

Blonder, Benjamin o.a.. "Predictability in community dynamics". Ecology Letters. 2017, 20(3). 293-306. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12736

Vancouver

Blonder B, Moulton DE, Blois J, Enquist BJ, Graae BJ, Macias-Fauria M o.a. Predictability in community dynamics. Ecology Letters. 2017 mar;20(3):293-306. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12736

Author

Blonder, Benjamin ; Moulton, Derek E. ; Blois, Jessica ; Enquist, Brian J. ; Graae, Bente J. ; Macias-Fauria, Marc ; McGill, Brian ; Nogue, Sandra ; Ordonez, Alejandro ; Sandel, Brody ; Svenning, Jens-Christian. / Predictability in community dynamics. I: Ecology Letters. 2017 ; Bind 20, Nr. 3. s. 293-306.

Bibtex

@article{7e374ff00b554e0abf975eda0509afb5,
title = "Predictability in community dynamics",
abstract = "The coupling between community composition and climate change spans a gradient from no lags to strong lags. The no-lag hypothesis is the foundation of many ecophysiological models, correlative species distribution modelling and climate reconstruction approaches. Simple lag hypotheses have become prominent in disequilibrium ecology, proposing that communities track climate change following a fixed function or with a time delay. However, more complex dynamics are possible and may lead to memory effects and alternate unstable states. We develop graphical and analytic methods for assessing these scenarios and show that these dynamics can appear in even simple models. The overall implications are that (1) complex community dynamics may be common and (2) detailed knowledge of past climate change and community states will often be necessary yet sometimes insufficient to make predictions of a community's future state.",
keywords = "Alternate states, chaos, climate change, community assembly, community climate, community response diagram, disequilibrium, hysteresis, lag, memory effects, CLIMATE-CHANGE, LATE-QUATERNARY, SPECIES DISTRIBUTION, ENVIRONMENTAL-CHANGE, PLANT-COMMUNITIES, ECOLOGICAL CHANGE, TRAIT COMPOSITION, VEGETATION CHANGE, EXTINCTION DEBT, NORTHERN EUROPE",
author = "Benjamin Blonder and Moulton, {Derek E.} and Jessica Blois and Enquist, {Brian J.} and Graae, {Bente J.} and Marc Macias-Fauria and Brian McGill and Sandra Nogue and Alejandro Ordonez and Brody Sandel and Jens-Christian Svenning",
year = "2017",
month = "3",
doi = "10.1111/ele.12736",
language = "English",
volume = "20",
pages = "293--306",
journal = "Ecology Letters",
issn = "1461-023X",
publisher = "Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd",
number = "3",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Predictability in community dynamics

AU - Blonder, Benjamin

AU - Moulton, Derek E.

AU - Blois, Jessica

AU - Enquist, Brian J.

AU - Graae, Bente J.

AU - Macias-Fauria, Marc

AU - McGill, Brian

AU - Nogue, Sandra

AU - Ordonez, Alejandro

AU - Sandel, Brody

AU - Svenning, Jens-Christian

PY - 2017/3

Y1 - 2017/3

N2 - The coupling between community composition and climate change spans a gradient from no lags to strong lags. The no-lag hypothesis is the foundation of many ecophysiological models, correlative species distribution modelling and climate reconstruction approaches. Simple lag hypotheses have become prominent in disequilibrium ecology, proposing that communities track climate change following a fixed function or with a time delay. However, more complex dynamics are possible and may lead to memory effects and alternate unstable states. We develop graphical and analytic methods for assessing these scenarios and show that these dynamics can appear in even simple models. The overall implications are that (1) complex community dynamics may be common and (2) detailed knowledge of past climate change and community states will often be necessary yet sometimes insufficient to make predictions of a community's future state.

AB - The coupling between community composition and climate change spans a gradient from no lags to strong lags. The no-lag hypothesis is the foundation of many ecophysiological models, correlative species distribution modelling and climate reconstruction approaches. Simple lag hypotheses have become prominent in disequilibrium ecology, proposing that communities track climate change following a fixed function or with a time delay. However, more complex dynamics are possible and may lead to memory effects and alternate unstable states. We develop graphical and analytic methods for assessing these scenarios and show that these dynamics can appear in even simple models. The overall implications are that (1) complex community dynamics may be common and (2) detailed knowledge of past climate change and community states will often be necessary yet sometimes insufficient to make predictions of a community's future state.

KW - Alternate states

KW - chaos

KW - climate change

KW - community assembly

KW - community climate

KW - community response diagram

KW - disequilibrium

KW - hysteresis

KW - lag

KW - memory effects

KW - CLIMATE-CHANGE

KW - LATE-QUATERNARY

KW - SPECIES DISTRIBUTION

KW - ENVIRONMENTAL-CHANGE

KW - PLANT-COMMUNITIES

KW - ECOLOGICAL CHANGE

KW - TRAIT COMPOSITION

KW - VEGETATION CHANGE

KW - EXTINCTION DEBT

KW - NORTHERN EUROPE

U2 - 10.1111/ele.12736

DO - 10.1111/ele.12736

M3 - Journal article

VL - 20

SP - 293

EP - 306

JO - Ecology Letters

JF - Ecology Letters

SN - 1461-023X

IS - 3

ER -