Institut for Virksomhedsledelse

Adam Gordon

Revisiting Mont Fleur: Lessons for Advocacy Scenarios In A New Era of Contention

Publikation: KonferencebidragPaperForskning

Normative scenario planning seeks to influence and improve outcomes in the external environment. Success in this is only partially and variably achieved, and there remains great need to understand how scenarios that embrace an external-world change agenda can best achieve their purpose. The Mont Fleur scenarios, created at the height of the South African transition, are considered a landmark in normative scenario practice and success, particularly in shaping the perspectives of leaders from diverse stakeholder groups towards an agreed optimal future, and legitimating and sustaining their choices towards it. By all accounts, future externalities were influenced (in its case, steering a political transition towards free-market rather than socialist economics). This study revisits and reinterprets the Mont Fleur process, particularly to extract understanding of how it set itself up to succeed in furthering its external purpose agenda, and from this draws and interprets lessons for scenario projects that today seek to follow a shaping agenda. While agreeing with received wisdom that Mont Fleur is a scenario format relevant for civic reconciliation or nation-building, it adds to the discussion by uncovering a 6-step template for success in influencing externalities in general, and delineates a stepwise approach to enacting this.
Udgivelsesår10 dec. 2018
StatusUdgivet - 10 dec. 2018
BegivenhedScenario 2018 Conference - Warwick University, Warwick, Storbritannien
Varighed: 10 dec. 201811 dec. 2018


KonferenceScenario 2018 Conference
LokationWarwick University

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