Timo Teräsvirta

  1. 2017
  2. Published

    Global Hemispheric Temperatures and Co–Shifting: A Vector Shifting–Mean Autoregressive Analysis. / Holt, Matthew T.; Terasvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2017. (CREATES Research Papers; No. 2017-05).

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  3. Published

    Sir Clive Granger’s contributions to nonlinear time series and econometrics. / Terasvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2017. (CREATES Research Papers; No. 2017-04).

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  4. Accepted/In press

    A Lagrange Multiplier test for testing the adequacy of the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH model. / Catani, Paul; Terasvirta, Timo; Yin, Meiqun.

    In: Econometric Reviews, 2017.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  5. Published

    Sir Clive Granger's contributions to nonlinear time series and econometrics. / Terasvirta, Timo.

    In: European Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 10, 2017, p. 104-132.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  6. Published

    Specification and testing of Multiplicative Time-Varying GARCH models with applications. / Amado, Cristina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Econometric Reviews, Vol. 36, 2017, p. 421-446.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  7. 2016
  8. Published

    A smooth transition logit model of the effects of deregulation in the electricity market. / Hurn, A. Stan; Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 31, No. 4, 2016, p. 707-733.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  9. Published

    Forecasting macroeconomic variables using neural network models and three automated model selection techniques. / Kock, Anders Bredahl; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Econometric Reviews, Vol. 35, No. 8-10, 2016, p. 1753-1779.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  10. Published

    Testing constancy of unconditional variance in volatility models by misspecification and specification tests. / Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Terasvirta, Timo.

    In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics (Online), Vol. 20, No. 4, 2016, p. 347-364.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  11. 2015
  12. Published

    Testing constancy of unconditional variance in volatility models by misspecification and specification tests. / Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Terasvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2015. (CREATES Research Papers; No. 2015-47).

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  13. Published

    Modeling conditional correlations of asset returns : A smooth transition approach. / Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Econometric Reviews, Vol. 34, No. 1-2, 2015, p. 174-197.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  14. 2014
  15. Published

    A Smooth Transition Logit Model of the Effects of Deregulation in the Electricity Market. / Hurn, A.S.; Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2014. (CREATES Research Papers; No. 2014-09).

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  16. Published

    Specification, Estimation and Evaluation of Vector Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models with Applications. / Teräsvirta, Timo; Yang, Yukai.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2014. (CREATES Research Papers; No. 2014-08).

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  17. Published

    Linearity and Misspecification Tests for Vector Smooth Transition Regression Models. / Teräsvirta, Timo; Yang, Yukai.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2014. (CREATES Research Papers; No. 2014-4).

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  18. Published

    A Lagrange Multiplier Test for Testing the Adequacy of the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH Model. / Catani, Paul; Teräsvirta, Timo; Yin, Meiqun.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2014. (CREATES Research Papers; No. 2014-03).

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  19. Published

    Conditional correlation models of autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with nonstationary GARCH equations. / Amado, Cristina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 32, No. 1, 2014, p. 69-87.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  20. Published

    Forecasting performances of three automated modelling techniques during the economic crisis 2007-2009. / Kock, Anders Bredahl; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 30, 2014, p. 616-631.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  21. Published

    Modelling changes in the unconditional variance of long stock return series. / Amado, Cristina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Empirical Finance, Vol. 25, 2014, p. 15-35.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  22. 2013
  23. Published

    Book Review of "Dynamic Models for Volatility and Heavy Tails: with Applications to Financial and Economic Time Series" by Andrew C. Harvey. / Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 51, No. 4, 12.2013, p. 1190-1192.

    Publication: CommunicationLiterature review

  24. Published

    Thresholds and Smooth Transitions in Vector Autoregressive Models. / Hubrich, Kirstin; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2013. (CREATES Research Papers; No. 2013-18).

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  25. Published

    Clive William John Granger 1934-2009. / Hendry, David F.; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Biographical Memoirs of Fellows of the British Academy, XII. Oxford : Oxford University Press, 2013. p. 453-469.

    Publication: CommunicationBook chapter

  26. Published

    Forecasting the Finnish Consumer Price Inflation Using Artificial Neural Network Models and Three Automated Model Selection Techniques. / Kock, Anders Bredahl; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Finnish Economic Papers, Vol. 26, No. 1, 2013, p. 13-24.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  27. Published

    Modelling volatility by variance decomposition. / Amado, Cristina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 175, No. 2, 2013, p. 142-153.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  28. Published

    Testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary models of unknown functional form. / Péguin-Feissolle, Anne; Strikholm, Birgit ; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation, Vol. 42, 2013, p. 1063-1087.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  29. Published

    Thresholds and smooth transitions in vector autoregressive models. / Hubrich, Kirstin; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims. ed. / Thomas B. Fomby; Lutz Kilian; Anthony Murphy. Cambridge, MA : Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 2013. p. 273-326 (Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 32).

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewBook chapter

  30. Published

    Unit Roots, Non-linearities, and Structural Breaks. / Haldrup, Niels; Kruse, Robinson; Teräsvirta, Timo; Varneskov, Rasmus T.

    Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics. ed. / Nigar Hashimzade; Michael A. Thornton. Cheltenham : Edward Elgar Publishing, Incorporated, 2013. p. 61-94 (Handbook of Research Methods and Applications series).

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewBook chapter

  31. 2012
  32. Published

    Global Hemispheric Temperature Trends and Co–Shifting: A Shifting Mean Vector Autoregressive Analysis. / Holt, Matthew T.; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2012. (CREATES Research Papers; No. 2012-54).

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  33. Published

    Unit roots, nonlinearities and structural breaks. / Haldrup, Niels; Kruse, Robinson; Teräsvirta, Timo; Varneskov, Rasmus T.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2012.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  34. Published

    Modelling Changes in the Unconditional Variance of Long Stock Return Series. / Amado, Cristina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2012.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  35. Published

    Modelling conditional correlations of asset returns: A smooth transition approach. / Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2012.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  36. Published

    Nonlinear models for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. / Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Handbook of volatility models and their applications. ed. / Luc Bauwens; Christian Hafner; Sébastien Laurent. New York : John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2012. p. 49-69 (Wiley Handbooks in Financial Engineering and Econometrics).

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewBook chapter

  37. 2011
  38. Published

    Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information. / González, Andrés; Hubrich, Kirstin; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Frankfurt am Main : European Central Bank, 2011.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  39. Published

    Forecasting with nonlinear time series models. / Kock, Anders Bredahl; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting. ed. / Michael P. Clements; David F. Hendry. Oxford : Oxford University Press, 2011. p. 61-87.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewBook chapter

  40. Published

    Nonlinear models for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. / Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2011.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  41. Published

    Conditional Correlation Models of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Nonstationary GARCH Equations. / Amado, Cristina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2011.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  42. Published

    Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables using Neural Network Models and Three Automated Model Selection Techniques. / Kock, Anders Bredahl; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2011.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  43. Published

    Forecasting performance of three automated modelling techniques during the economic crisis 2007-2009. / Kock, Anders Bredahl; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2011.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  44. Published

    Modelling volatility by multiplicative decomposition of the variance. / Amado, Cristina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Suomen Tilastoseuran vuosikirja 2010. Helsinki : Finnish Statistical Society, 2011. p. 63-71.

    Publication: ResearchBook chapter

  45. Published

    Modelling volatility by variance decomposition. / Amado, Cristina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : CREATES, Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2011.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  46. Published

    Stylized facts of return series, robust estimates, and three popular models of volatility. / Teräsvirta, Timo; Zhao, Zhenfang.

    In: Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 21, No. 1-2, 2011, p. 67-94.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  47. 2010
  48. Published

    Conditional heteroskedasticity. / Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Encyclopedia of Quantitative Finance. ed. / Rama Cont. Hoboken, N.J. : John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2010. p. 809-820.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewEncyclopedia entry

  49. Published

    Forecasting with nonlinear time series models. / Kock, Anders Bredahl; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2010.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  50. Published

    Modelling nonlinear economic time series. / Teräsvirta, Timo; Tjøstheim, Dag; Granger, Clive W.J.

    Oxford : Oxford University Press, 2010. 432 p.

    Publication: ResearchBook

  51. Published

    Sir Clive William John Granger, 1934-2009. / Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: New Zealand Economic Papers, Vol. 44, No. 2, 2010, p. 121-127.

    Publication: ResearchJournal article

  52. Published

    Stylized facts of financial time series and three popular models of volatility. / Malmsten, Hans; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: European Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 3, No. 3, 2010, p. 443-477.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  53. Published

    Working with Clive Granger: two short memories. / Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Financial Econometrics, Vol. 8, No. 2, 2010, p. 191-192.

    Publication: ResearchJournal article

  54. 2009
  55. Published

    Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information. / González, Andrés; Hubrich, Kirstin; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2009.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  56. Published

    Introduction to univariate GARCH models. / Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Handbook of Financial Time Series. ed. / Torben G. Andersen; Richard A. Davis; Jens-Peter Kreiss; Thomas Mikosch. Berlin : Springer, 2009. p. 17-42.

    Publication: ResearchBook chapter

  57. Published

    Modelling multivariate autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with the Double Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH model. / Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Financial Econometrics, Vol. 7, No. 4, 2009, p. 373-411.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  58. Published

    Multivariate GARCH models. / Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Handbook of Financial Time Series. ed. / Torben G. Andersen; Richard A. Davis; Jens-Peter Kreiss; Thomas Mikosch. Berlin, 2009. p. 201-229.

    Publication: ResearchBook chapter

  59. Published

    Smooth transition regression modeling. / Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Applied Time Series Econometrics. ed. / Helmut Lütkepohl; Markus Krätzig. China Machine Press, 2009. p. 172-187.

    Publication: ResearchBook chapter

  60. Published

    Testing for volatility interactions in the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH model. / Nakatani, Tomoaki; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Econometrics Journal, Vol. 12, No. 1, 2009, p. 147-163.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  61. Published

    Testing parameter constancy in stationary vector autoregressive models against continuous change. / He, Changli; González, Andrés; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Econometric Reviews, Vol. 28, No. 1-3, 2009, p. 225-245.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  62. 2008
  63. Published

    Modelling Conditional and Unconditional Heteroskedasticity with Smoothly Time-Varying Structure. / Amado, Christina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2008.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  64. Published

    Modelling Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with the Double Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH Model. / Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2008.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  65. Published

    Modelling autoregressive processes with a shifting mean. / González, Andrés; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics (Online), Vol. 12, No. 1, 2008, p. Article 1.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  66. Published

    Multivariate GARCH models. / Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2008.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  67. Published

    Parameterizing unconditional skewness in models for financial time series. / He, Changli; Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2008.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  68. Published

    Parameterizing unconditional skewness in models for financial time series. / He, Changli; Silvennoinen, Annastiina; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Financial Econometrics, Vol. 6, No. 2, 2008, p. 208-230.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  69. Published

    Positivity constraints on the conditional variances in the family of conditional correlation GARCH models. / Nakatani, Tomoaki; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Finance Research Letters, Vol. 5, No. 2, 2008, p. 88-95.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  70. Published

    Testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis in stationary nonlinear models of unknown functional form. / Péguin-Feissolle, Anne; Strikholm, Birgit; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Aarhus : Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet, 2008.

    Publication: ResearchWorking paper

  71. 2007
  72. Published

    Testing constancy of the error covariance matrix in vector models. / Eklund, Bruno; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 140, 2007, p. 753-780.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  73. 2006
  74. Published

    A time series model for an exchange rate in a target zone with applications. / Lundbergh, Stefan; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 131, 2006, p. 579-609.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  75. Published

    Building neural network models for time series : A statistical approach. / Medeiros, Marcelo C.; Teräsvirta, Timo; Rech, Gianluigi.

    In: Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 25, 2006, p. 49-75.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  76. Published

    Common features in conditional distributions for bivariate time series. / Granger, Clive W.J.; Patton, Andrew J.; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 132, 2006, p. 43-57.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  77. Published

    Evaluating models of autoregressive conditional duration. / Meitz, Mika; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 24, 2006, p. 104-124.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  78. Published

    Forecasting economic variables with nonlinear models. / Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Handbook of economic forecasting. ed. / G. Elliott; C.W.J. Granger; A. Timmermann. Vol. 1 Amsterdam : Pergamon Press, 2006. p. 413-457.

    Publication: ResearchBook chapter

  79. Published

    Simulation-based finite-sample linearity test against smooth transition models. / González, Andrés; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 68, 2006, p. 797-812.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  80. Published

    Testing parameter constancy in vector autoregressive models against continuous change. / Strikholm, Birgit; Teräsvirta, Timo.

    In: Econometrics Journal, Vol. 9, 2006, p. 472-491.

    Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article

  81. Published

    Univariate time series models. / Teräsvirta, Timo.

    Palgrave Handbook of econometrics: Econometric Theory. ed. / K. Patterson; T.C. Mills. Vol. 1 Basingstoke : Palgrave Macmillan, 2006. p. 396-424.

    Publication: ResearchBook chapter